Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.021799 0.023634 0.025550 0.027701 0.030051 0.032540 0.035380
2025-08-10 0.018804 0.021456 0.024382 0.027855 0.031872 0.036381 0.041837
2025-08-17 0.016563 0.019621 0.023133 0.027477 0.032722 0.038869 0.046650
2025-08-24 0.014860 0.018141 0.022033 0.027011 0.033234 0.040793 0.050721
2025-08-31 0.013617 0.017056 0.021252 0.026774 0.033889 0.042802 0.054895
2025-09-07 0.012607 0.016153 0.020587 0.026573 0.034497 0.044702 0.058958
2025-09-14 0.011779 0.015404 0.020039 0.026443 0.035132 0.046610 0.063082
2025-09-21 0.010989 0.014641 0.019406 0.026130 0.035462 0.048079 0.066641
2025-09-28 0.010439 0.014155 0.019096 0.026212 0.036300 0.050248 0.071263
2025-10-05 0.009873 0.013605 0.018658 0.026071 0.036793 0.051928 0.075248
2025-10-12 0.009441 0.013214 0.018407 0.026165 0.037603 0.054078 0.080015
2025-10-19 0.009026 0.012819 0.018124 0.026184 0.038287 0.056054 0.084613
2025-10-26 0.008534 0.012303 0.017664 0.025952 0.038636 0.057632 0.088832
2025-11-02 0.008207 0.012015 0.017521 0.026188 0.039711 0.060382 0.095096
2025-11-09 0.007752 0.011508 0.017024 0.025848 0.039866 0.061699 0.099129
2025-11-16 0.007311 0.010997 0.016489 0.025414 0.039833 0.062700 0.102681
2025-11-23 0.006958 0.010601 0.016108 0.025193 0.040116 0.064205 0.107151
2025-11-30 0.006640 0.010242 0.015762 0.025004 0.040433 0.065768 0.111799
2025-12-07 0.006360 0.009929 0.015471 0.024883 0.040844 0.067498 0.116832
2025-12-14 0.006062 0.009572 0.015090 0.024590 0.040942 0.068687 0.120961
2025-12-21 0.005862 0.009363 0.014937 0.024666 0.041669 0.070993 0.127252
2025-12-28 0.005633 0.009094 0.014672 0.024535 0.042020 0.072647 0.132432
2026-01-04 0.005461 0.008912 0.014539 0.024623 0.042759 0.075025 0.139120